Obama Doing Just Fine in Clinton Country

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By Steve Kornacki

October 9, 2008 | 1:53 p.m

On March 4, Hillary Clinton delivered the following remarks to supporters at her victory party in Columbus, Ohio:

"You know, they call Ohio a bellwether state. It's a battleground state. It's a state that knows how to pick a president. And no candidate in recent history, Democrat or Republican, has won the White House without winning the Ohio primary.

"You all know that if we want a Democratic president, we need a Democratic nominee who can win the battleground states just like Ohio. And that is what we've done. We've won Florida, Nevada, New Mexico, Arizona, Michigan, New Hampshire, Arkansas, California, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, and Tennessee. And today, we won Rhode Island, and thanks to all my friends and supporters there."

Let's add Pennsylvania to that list—she and her supporters portrayed her April 22 victory there as proof that she was uniquely qualified to win the Keystone State in the fall—and take a look at how the race now stands in the swing states in which Clinton claimed victory during the primary season:

PENNSYLVANIA

Obama 50, McCain 38 (Morning Call, 10/7)
Obama 54, McCain 41 (Rasmussen, 10/6)
Obama 55, McCain 40 (Survey USA, 10/6)

OHIO

Obama 50, McCain 47 (CNN/Time, 10/6)
Obama 49, McCain 43 (PPP, 10/5)
Obama 51, McCain 45 (ABC/Washington Post, 10/5)
McCain 48, Obama 47 (Fox News, 10/5)

FLORIDA

Obama 52, McCain 45 (Rasmussen, 10/5)
Obama 48, McCain 46 (Mason-Dixon, 10/6)
Obama 51, McCain 43 (CNN, 9/29)
Obama 49, McCain 46 (Insider Advantage, 9/29)
Obama 46, McCain 42 (Suffolk, 9/29)
McCain 48, Obama 47 (Survey USA, 9/28)

NEVADA

Obama 49, McCain 47 (Insider Advantage, 10/6)
Obama 50, McCain 43 (Research 2000, 10/5)
Obama 51, McCain 47 (Rasmussen, 10/2)

NEW MEXICO

Obama 45, McCain 40 (Albuquerque Journal, 10/2)
Obama 49, McCain 44 (Rasmussen, 10/1)
Obama 52, McCain 44 (Survey USA, 9/30)

MICHIGAN

Obama 51, McCain 41 (PPP, 10/1)
Obama 51, McCain 38 (Detroit Free Press, 9/24)
Obama 48, McCain 45 (Strategic Vision, 9/24)

NEW HAMPSHIRE

Obama 53, McCain 40 (Survey USA, 10/5)
Obama 51, McCain 43 (CNN, 10/5)
Obama 53, McCain 43 (Rasmussen 10/1)
Obama 49, McCain 37 (St. Anselm, 9/30)

NEW JERSEY

Obama 50, McCain 38 (FDU, 10/6)
Obama 52, McCain 42 (Survey USA, 9/28)