For all those who think that Obama should be the favorite take a look at this link. Obama has almost no chance to win Ohio and Florida and it almost screws him completely. To win without these, he's going to have to sweep all the toss-up states and not lose any states that went blue last election. That includes Mich where they're polling about even and where it will likely be close in November. With Obama against giving the Michigan voters they're say, it looks like McCain has a solid chance of taking the election, regardless of the problems the GOP is facing right now.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/04/mccains_electoral_coll...
For all those who think that Obama should be the favorite take a look at this link. Obama has almost no chance to win Ohio and Florida and it almost screws him completely. To win without these, he's going to have to sweep all the toss-up states and not lose any states that went blue last election. That includes Mich where they're polling about even and where it will likely be close in November. With Obama against giving the Michigan voters they're say, it looks like McCain has a solid chance of taking the election, regardless of the problems the GOP is facing right now.