By Azi Paybarah on November 4, 2009

Bill Thompson beat Michael Bloomberg among New Yorkers who cast their votes on the Democratic and Republican lines, 479,521 to 414,242.
But Bloomberg’s margin of victory last night was delivered by the Independence Party line, where the mayor got 142,817 votes, compared to the 27,196 Thompson got on his major third party line, the Working Families Party, according to unofficial results from the city Board of Elections.
This can be attributed mostly to the fact that lots of Bloomberg voters weren't Republicans, and couldn't bring themselves to vote for him on the Republican line. But Fred Newman, Jackie Salit and Lenora Fulani will spend the next four years claiming that Bloomberg owes them, and they won't be entirely wrong.
Anyway, before the polls closed yesterday, a handful of (brave!) political observers sent in their predictions for yesterday’s results (margin of victory, voter turnout) and, for fun, they also took a stab at how much Bloomberg’s campaign bill will finally end up being. (We won't know that last answer for a few more weeks, but why not start speculating.)
For what it's worth, Benjamin Fried and Peter Feld seemed to know something the rest of us didn't. I'll be taking their mutterings a bit more seriously next time.
Last night's predictions:
Yoel Lefkowitz: Bloomberg, 58-42
Ira Stoll: Bloomberg, 57-41, turnout: 1.1 million
Joseph Mercurio: Bloomberg, 57.5 - 42.5, turnout: >1 million
Steve Kramer: Bloombeg, 55.5 to 44.5
Chorie Sicha: Bloomberg, 55-45, turnout: 1,156,000
Azi Paybarah: Bloomberg, 55-45, turnout: 1,100,000
Ravi Batra: Bloomberg, 54-46, turnout: same as primary
Gatemouth: Bloomberg, 54-46
Bill O’Reilly: Bloomberg, 54-44
Chris Smith: Bloomberg 55-43, turnout: 1.1 million
Jerry Skurnik: Bloomberg, 54-43, turnout: 1.2 million
Neal Kwatra: Bloomberg, 53-47, turnout: 925,000
Michael Oliva: Bloomberg, 54-47
Peter Feld: Bloomberg, 53-46, turnout: 23%
Michael Levoff: Bloomberg, 53-43
Jason Horowitz: Bloomberg, 52-43
Lew Fidler: Bloomberg, 52-44
Benjamin Fried: Bloomberg, 51-47 (Billy Talen at >1), turnout: 1.8 million
Aaron Naparstek: Thompson, 50.2-49.8
Bloomberg’s bill:
Ira Stoll: $100 million
Ravi Batra: $101 million
Wayne Barrett: $103 million
Doug Muzzio: $119,376,215
Joseph Mercurio: $125 million
Ibrahim Kahn: $134 million
Benjamin Fried: $134 million
Aaron Naparstek: $147 million
Adam Green: “If forfty bajillion is still a recognized number, that.”
Michael Oliva: “way more than necessary!”