Out of Senate, Edwards Ignores Reality

Out of Senate, Edwards Ignores Reality
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John Edwards is not helping the cause of the Democrats who run Congress. And he has no interest in doing so, because the less Democratic voters think of their leaders on Capitol Hill, the less they’ll think of Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, Mr. Edwards’ chief rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination.

But in exacerbating the party base’s restlessness with its House and Senate leadership, Mr. Edwards is contributing mightily to that base’s deeply flawed reading of the political realities in Congress when it comes to ending the Iraq war.

He was at it again on Sunday when he appeared on “Meet the Press.” Calling Mr. Edwards on his strident anti-war rhetoric (and his efforts to clearly distinguish himself from Mrs. Clinton), moderator Tim Russert asked if Mr. Edwards now wants Congress to cut off funding for the war—a step that House and Senate leaders have, for practical and political reasons, refused to consider.

Mr. Edwards, no doubt fully aware of the political risks of supporting a funding cut-off, denied supporting such an approach, then reiterated what has been his standard prescription for a Congressionally-induced end to the war. “The way for the Congress to do that is to ensure that every funding bill that goes to this President actually has a timetable for withdrawal,” he told Mr. Russert.

“And if Bush vetoes that, they should send another bill with a timetable for withdrawal, and they should stand their ground. There’s a difference between doing that and just cutting off funding for the troops.”

Fair enough—except what Mr. Edwards advocates is essentially cutting off funds. By entering into a stalemate over war funding with the President (passing the same legislation over and over, only to have it vetoed and without a two-thirds supermajority to override it), money for the war would eventually run out. Mr. Russert pointed this out. In that situation, Mr. Edwards replied, President Bush would either “have to meet the timetable for withdrawal, or the money will dry up and he’ll have to start withdrawing troops out of Iraq. Either way, the Congress has done exactly what the American people asked them to do in November 2006, which is what they should do.”

That’s a simplistic and self-serving take. The approach Mr. Edwards favors—passing the same funding-with-timetable legislation ad nauseam—means that, technically speaking, the President would be the one responsible when the funds finally run out, because he would have vetoed money that the Democrats had approved to find them.

But this kind of thinking is too cute, akin to the Republicans’ adamance in 1995 that the country would blame Bill Clinton for that fall’s infamous government shutdown. It didn’t work.

By following the Edwards approach, Democrats would face the same political risks and consequences that would come with actually passing legislation to cut off the funds. There would be no difference.

War opponents will point out how unfair this all is—that in adopting either of the approaches outlined above, Democrats in Congress would be acting to bring about an end to the war, and that the President and his allies would be the ones playing politics.

But that doesn’t matter when you consider the perils of building and sustaining a Congressional coalition. There are now 232 Democrats in the U.S. House and 51 in the Senate (counting Joe Lieberman). If the Democrats ever adopted Mr. Edwards’ approach, the defections from the middle and right of the caucus would be swift and steady. (In fact, some of these defectors would see it as a welcome opportunity to prove to their conservative constituents that they aren’t afraid to stand up to the “liberal” elements of the Democratic Party.)

It’s worth noting that, as fateful as it was, the 2006 election essentially didn’t happen in about 75 percent of the Congressional districts in America. In these safe districts, popular frustration with the war may have shifted the results at the margins, but the incumbents—staunchly anti-war and pro-war alike—still won their seats easily. And the Senate, with its three “classes” elected separately every two years, was conceived by the founders to resist sudden changes in popular sentiment on weighty issues. Not every Democrat feels the same urgency to go for broke in trying to end the war legislatively.

In fact, these Democrats may have done the best they can already when, months ago, they passed (on party line votes) exactly the kind of legislation Mr. Edwards is calling for—a withdrawal timetable tied to war funds. The president immediately vetoed it and Democrats had nowhere near enough votes to override him. That they united the disparate elements of their caucus in the first was nearly miraculous; to have pressed further—as much sense as it made to the anti-war crowd—would have dissolved that unity.

It’s not as if the Democratic majority is powerless. They won the power of subpoena when they took back Congress, and they’ve used it to conduct the oversight of the executive branch that the G.O.P. Congress ignored for six years—and the results have affected public opinion and the public debate, over the war and other matters like the U.S. Attorney firings.

But there is a limit to what a party with a slim Congressional majority and a hostile White House can do—especially when wavering Republicans in Congress continue to ignore their doubts and line up with the White House. This stubbornness—by a President who responded to the 2006 elections with an escalation of the war and by the Republicans who have stood by his side—may well have severe electoral consequences for the G.O.P. in 2008. But, for now, it only inhibits the Democrats’ efforts to use their legislative position to change war policy.

John Edwards knows this, but continues to profit from Democrats’ cynicism toward their leaders. Interesting, isn’t it, that he embraced this vision of legislative activism only after he left the Senate?

http://www.observer.com/2007/out-senate-edwards-ignores-reality

Copyright © 2007 The New York Observer. All rights reserved.

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