For Some Superdelegates, a Chance for Revenge

Getty Images

It should come as no surprise that Democratic Party officials haven’t exactly been rallying to Hillary Clinton in her time of need.

While most Democratic voters remember Bill Clinton’s presidency with fondness, as the era of peace and prosperity and two straight wins in presidential elections, more than a few elected officials and Democratic leaders remember him as the selfish careerist who, time and again, threw them all under the bus.

Sure, he won reelection in 1996—the first Democrat to do so since Franklin Roosevelt—but at a steep price for the party.

When he came to power, Democrats enjoyed overwhelming majorities in the House and the Senate, marking only the second time since the end of L.B.J.’s presidency that the party controlled both the executive and legislative branches. But when he left, the G.O.P. owned both houses of Congress, the presidency and a majority of governorships—and within two years, Republicans gained a majority of seats in state legislatures for the first time in five decades.

While he was still in office, his would-be Democratic critics mostly stewed in silence. Bill was too popular with the masses to oppose, so they were stuck with him—even at the height of impeachment, when his approval rating was still almost twice what George W. Bush’s now is.

But now, their chance to get the last laugh seems to have arrived.

Whatever chance remains of a Clinton restoration in 2008 depends on Democratic superdelegates siding with Hillary Clinton, erasing what now looks almost certain to be an advantage for Obama in pledged delegates. There will be nearly 800 superdelegates at this summer’s convention (about 20 percent of all delegates) and right now Clinton leads Obama among them, 257-185. A late, mass shift of 350 or so could well swing the election her way.

In other words, her fate is in the hands of many of the same Democratic insiders who remember the first Clinton presidency largely for its missed opportunities. They’ve stayed neutral in this race because of their natural tendency to play it safe, and until very recently, Hillary seemed like the safe choice. If she survived the primaries, they’d swallow hard and side with her, just like they did with her husband a decade ago.

Obama’s dominant February, though, has turned that calculation on its head: Suddenly, he is supplanting Hillary as the safe choice, the one insiders flock to for fear of alienating a possible soon-to-be president.

Their grievances with Bill (and Hillary) go beyond the hit that the party’s down-ballot candidates took at the polls in the ’90s. If that had happened because Bill was out fighting the good Democratic fight, it would have been forgivable. But all too often, he seemed perfectly willing to serve up his own partisan allies, presenting himself to the public as the centrist hero between the extremes of the left and right—“triangulation,” this was called.

It reared its head in 1995, when he was on the comeback trail to re-election. Appearing before a group of wealthy business leaders, Bill Clinton brought up his 1993 budget, a tax hike and (modest) spending cuts package that had cost his party dearly at the polls. Not a single Republican in the House or Senate had voted for it, and Democrats across the country went down to defeat in 1994 because they had dared to defy public opinion and to stand with their president.

But when Bill spoke about the budget in ‘95, he didn’t praise his fellow Democrats for their courage: He buried them.

“There are people in this room still mad at me at that budget because you think I raised your taxes too much,” he said. “It might surprise you to know that I think I raised them too much, too.”

It was hardly an isolated incident.

He championed the North American Free Trade Agreement in 1993, which was—and still is—vigorously opposed by organized labor and the Democratic base. But Bill muscled it through Congress on the strength of Republican support. To many Democrats, it was betrayal. But to him, it was a political boon—another “Sister Souljah” moment that allowed him to show independent voters he was different from the old Democratic guard they’d come to so dislike.

So was welfare reform, which reached his desk at the height of his 1996 reelection campaign. In truth, welfare rolls were already shrinking, thanks to an improving economy and reform efforts undertaken at the state level. But polls showed voters still believed the system was counterproductive and rife with abuse, and Bill Clinton signed it—over the cries of some in his party that it senselessly punished children.

“It is a social risk that no sane person would take, and I mean that,” Daniel Patrick Moynihan said at the time.

There was also the ordeal of impeachment. Democratic voters may remember it as a heroic struggle against an out-of-control Republican inquisition, but many party leaders remember the missed opportunities: A full year of Bill’s presidency wasted defending himself from an inquiry that—no matter how outrageous—was ultimately the result of his immaturity and lack of self-control.

To Bill Clinton, members of the party establishment realized, they weren’t allies as much as they were foils.

In one moment of candor 13 years ago, Congressman David Obey vented his frustration: “I think most of us learned some time ago that if you don’t like the president’s position on a particular issue, you simply need to wait a few weeks.”

Obey will be a superdelegate at this year’s convention. He is backing Obama.

http://www.observer.com/2008/some-superdelegates-chance-revenge

Copyright © 2008 The New York Observer. All rights reserved.

  • del.icio.us
  • Digg
  • Reddit
  • Newsvine
  • Google
  • Yahoo
  • Technorati
  • Facebook
  • Stumble Upon
  • Netvibes
  • Windows Live