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the lead indicator

A winter of discontent coming?

Taking Economic Stock at Summer’s End

The summer our discontent behind us, the weight of inaction threatens anew. It is readily apparent from the most recent data that economic growth and labor market trends slowed markedly during July and August. Yet precious little has been accomplished over this same period to seriously assess or offset the deficiencies in the recovery.

Absent politicians in Washington calming down, or new private or public sources of stimulus, the near- and medium-term outlook for the economy remains clouded. Would that policymakers could approach the growth and employment conundrum with the same zeal—and occasional ferocity—as they approached the budget debates over the past few months, we might be in a stronger position two years after the recession reached its putative end. Read More

Editorial

You Punish the Banks, You Punish Us All

There is good economic news to report: The unemployment rate in New York City has dropped to 8.6 percent. That's a two-year low. And the good news on jobs comes despite a continued lull in construction, a traditional source of well-paid, blue-collar work.

Now the bad news: Washington is considering new banking rules that could very Read More

the lead indicator

Sorting the Latest Employment Report

Payrolls expanded by 216,000 jobs in March, according to last week's report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Businesses easily offset cutbacks in local governments, as private employment increased by 230,000 jobs in March and, on a revised basis, 240,000 jobs in February.

Investors are understandably encouraged; the new counts mark the strongest monthly gains Read More

concrete thoughts

The Job Numbers and Commercial Real Estate

Last Friday's jobs report from the Labor Department initiated a wave of articles and blog entries depicting a robust economy and blue skies ahead. Democrats have taken the position that the administration's policies are starting to work, and Republicans are directing most of the credit toward the extension of the Bush-era tax rates. For a Read More

Lies Damn Lies and...

Stat of the Week: 24,600

Every week, Cassidy Turley research guru Robert Sammons provides us with a statistical snapshot of an aspect of the New York City commercial real estate market. This week, jobs, jobs, jobs.

Office employment for New York City was up by a revised 24,600 positions for 2010, from the original estimate of 21,500, in figures released this Read More

the lead indicator

Why the Rosier Employment Report Still Falls Short

U.S. employers added 192,000 jobs in February, the largest one-month improvement since May 2010, when public hiring picked up temporarily on account of the need for census workers. The increase in payrolls reflects a decline of 30,000 jobs in state and local government jobs, more than offset by a net gain of 222,000 on private-sector Read More

the lead indicator

Bringing the Latest Jobs Numbers Into Focus

For millions of unemployed Americans, for policy makers, and for commercial real estate investors and lenders, last Friday's employment report offered a rude aide memoire of the recovery's continuing unevenness. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' advance estimate, private and public employers added just 36,000 net new jobs in January.

This tally fell Read More

Wall Street

Morning Roundup: Facebook Will Go Public! Maybe!

  • A document sent to potential investors reveals that popular social-networking site Facebook intends to rack up more than 500 investors, the magical number above which the government begins requiring companies to disclose financial information. And companies that have to disclose their financial information often decide that they might as well go public while they're at Read More

Wall Street

Morning Roundup: Facebook Live! Tonight! Sold Out!

  • Companies were hiring like the dickens in December, offering the gift of employment to 297,000 Americans, according to payroll company Automatic Data Processing. The U.S. government releases its own more broadly accepted numbers Friday, but still -- jobs! [Reuters]
  • Even though hardly anyone knows anything about Facebook as a business (like what its finances look Read More

Wall Street

Morning Roundup: Thoughts on the Young New Year

  • A broad section of America is pretty pessimistic about what 2011 will bring, economically speaking. However, a smaller subset of the citizenry, known as "investors," believes we're on pace for growth and that the economy may even overheat this year. [WSJ]
  • Paul Krugman is cautioning jobless Americans against getting too excited about this year's economy, Read More